Binary Classification Problem with Machine Learning

Overview

Binary Classification Problem with Machine Learning

Solving Approach:

1) Ultimate Goal of the Assignment:

This assignment is about solving a binary classification problem, and I need to come up with a binary classifier that classifies given instances
as class 1(Positive) and class 0 (Negative) based on the numerical features provided.

2) Getting to know the Dataset:

Before selecting any machine learning algorithm for the given task it is better to know and explore the dataset provided. We should look 
for the possible errors present inside datasets. After analysing the data I had following findings.

I) Training set and Test set is given with training csv having 3910 record or instances and test csv having 691 records.

II) There were no Null values present in any training or test set, so there was no need to deal with Null values.

III) All the features present were of numerical types with non-zero values greater than 0.0 to pretty large numbers.

IV) training_set.csv comes with a lable "Y" having two categories (Binary Value) of '0' and '1', but test_set.csv has only instances or records with not 
labels provided for them

V) From the observation of the training and test dataset, It is found that feature values having are large variation, some varies between 0 to 5,
but some varying between 0 to 1000, while few from 0 to 10000, and so on.

VI) Most importantly, the dataset is imbalaned. It has 1534 instances belonging to class '1' and 2376 instances for class '0' having imbalance
ration as 1.5489.

3) What Preprocessing techniques? and Why?

I) I used Simple Histograms which helped to find the distribution of each features, density of them and in what proportions there are varying.
II) KDE plot is vey important, it depicts the probability density at different values in a continuous variable.
III) Box-Whiskers Plot, this plot are very important and gives interesting insights on dataset, it gives, 1st IQR(25th Percentile), 2nd IQR
(median), 3rd IQR (75th Percentile), Upper bound, Lower bound, and Specially Outliers!!
IV) From box plots, it is observed that the dataset has lot of outliers also few of them havinf very large values, hence giving scope for data 
scaling or standardization.
V) Manually, I found the number of features having values greater than 1.0. Some features are very much concentrated between 0 to 1.0 but few are 
totally outside this range.

4) Feature Engineering and Feature Selection:

I) In feature engineering, we can combine existing features or use domain knowledge to design completely new features. Here I haven't explored on engineering
part, but focused on selection (though I removed only 1 of them!!)
II) There are 57 numerical features, so I decided to remove highly correlated features, as highly correlated features causes redundancy in dataset.
So it is always advisable to remove highly correlated features.
III) I used Corr() function to find correlations between features with respect to another. And displayed them in the form of Correlational Matrix.
IV) Due to large features, the matrix was pretty much messier!!. So I manually filter the features along with its highly correlated features list.
I used 85% correlation threshold limit. 
V) Only X32  and X34 were filtered out in this criterion, and decided to drop X32 (Just random decision, not based on P-Value).

5) Algorithm Selection and Tuning:

I) Model selection has no strict rules, but decision is taken from considering number of factors, such as number of features vs number of instances,
Linearity of data, speed, accuracy and so on.
II) From the feature pairplots, we found that dataset is highly distributed and very few are linearly separable, so I decided to go with Non-Linear
model like KNN, Decision Tree - Random Forest, XGBoost, SVM, etc,.
III) Since total number of records are 3910 and features 57, so records >> features, here KNN, Kernel-SVM, Desision tree, Random Firest are good choice.
IV) We have outliers in our data, so KNN and tree-based models are very robust to outliers.
V) The given dataset is small, so I ignored training time criterion to filter models.
VI) Finally I moved forward with KNN, Random Forest Classifer and XGBClassifier models.

6) Which accuravy measure to use? and Why?

I) We are dealing with Binary Classification task, So I decided to include multiple measure to assess the quality of predictions and 
performance of the models.
II) Accuracy measures followed --> Model accuracy Score, Confusion Matrix, Precision Score, Recall Score, F1-Score, ROC_AUC Score, ROC Curve
III) Accuracy Score - Accuracy is the most intuitive performance measure and it is simply a ratio of correctly predicted observation to the total observations.
IV) Confusion Matrix - Confusion matrix is a very popular measure used while solving classification problems. It can be applied to binary classification as well as for multiclass classification problems.
Confusion matrices represent counts from predicted and actual values. It gives four numbers TP (True Positive), TN (True Negative), FP (False Positive), FN (False Negative).

          ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          | True Negative | True Negative which shows the number of negative examples classified accurately | class '0' to class '0' |
          ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          | True Positive |  True Positive which indicates the number of positive examples classified accurately| class '1' to class '1'
          ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          | False Positive | False Positive which shows the number of actual negative examples classified as positive | actual class '0' to class '1' |
          ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          | False Negative | False Negative value which shows the number of actual positive examples classified as negative | actual class '1' to class '0' |
          ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
V) Precision Score - Precision is the ratio of correctly predicted positive observations to the total predicted positive observations. 
            ----------------------------------------------------------------------
            | Precision = TP/TP+FP | Where, TP = True Positive, FP = False Positive
            ----------------------------------------------------------------------
VI) Recall Score - This is also called 'Sensitivity'. It is the ratio of correctly predicted positive observations to the all observations in actual class.
            ----------------------------------------------------------------------
            | Recall = TP/TP+FN | Where, TP = True Positive, FN = False Negative |
            ----------------------------------------------------------------------
VII) F1 Score - F1 Score is the weighted average of Precision and Recall. 
            ------------------------------------------------------------
            | F1 Score = 2*(Recall * Precision) / (Recall + Precision) |
            ------------------------------------------------------------
VIII) ROC Curve - It is a chart that visualizes the tradeoff between true positive rate (TPR) and false positive rate (FPR). Basically, for every threshold, 
we calculate TPR and FPR and plot it on one chart. The higher TPR and the lower FPR is for each threshold the better and so classifiers that have curves that 
are more top-left-side are better.
IX) ROC_AUC Score - ROC score is nothing but the area under ROC curve. The more it close to zero, better is our classifier algorithm.

7) How we can Improve further?

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    | Data Imbalance | we should reduce data imbalance issue so that model is not biased against any class |
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    | Remove Outliers | We can use box-whiskers plots, Z-score, IQR based filtering, Percentile, Winsorization, etc to remove outliers |
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    | Feature Engineering | We can combine several features with each other to create new features, Use Domain Knowledge |
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    | Reduce Dimensionality - Feature selection | We can use Principle Component Analysis (PCA), t-SNE to filter out most useful features having large variance |
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    | Hyper Parameter Tuning | We can play around different algorithms and hyper tune them with most optimum algorithm parameters to avoid overfitting |
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    | Deep Neural Networks | If we have huge dataset, neural networks are very effective to capture hidden representations from dataset with reduced interpretability of the model |
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------.

Please revert for any doubts. Thank You!!

Owner
Dinesh Mali
Machine Learning Enthusiastic, IITian, and Cricketer....
Dinesh Mali
The easy way to combine mlflow, hydra and optuna into one machine learning pipeline.

mlflow_hydra_optuna_the_easy_way The easy way to combine mlflow, hydra and optuna into one machine learning pipeline. Objective TODO Usage 1. build do

shibuiwilliam 9 Sep 09, 2022
This is the code repository for Interpretable Machine Learning with Python, published by Packt.

Interpretable Machine Learning with Python, published by Packt

Packt 299 Jan 02, 2023
This is the code repository for LRM Stochastic watershed model.

LRM-Squannacook Input data for generating stochastic streamflows are observed and simulated timeseries of streamflow. their format needs to be CSV wit

1 Feb 14, 2022
Reproducibility and Replicability of Web Measurement Studies

Reproducibility and Replicability of Web Measurement Studies This repository holds additional material to the paper "Reproducibility and Replicability

6 Dec 31, 2022
A Python implementation of GRAIL, a generic framework to learn compact time series representations.

GRAIL A Python implementation of GRAIL, a generic framework to learn compact time series representations. Requirements Python 3.6+ numpy scipy tslearn

3 Nov 24, 2021
Neighbourhood Retrieval (Nearest Neighbours) with Distance Correlation.

Neighbourhood Retrieval with Distance Correlation Assign Pseudo class labels to datapoints in the latent space. NNDC is a slim wrapper around FAISS. N

The Learning Machines 1 Jan 16, 2022
A Python implementation of the Robotics Toolbox for MATLAB

Robotics Toolbox for Python A Python implementation of the Robotics Toolbox for MATLAB® GitHub repository Documentation Wiki (examples and details) Sy

Peter Corke 1.2k Jan 07, 2023
DistML is a Ray extension library to support large-scale distributed ML training on heterogeneous multi-node multi-GPU clusters

DistML is a Ray extension library to support large-scale distributed ML training on heterogeneous multi-node multi-GPU clusters

27 Aug 19, 2022
Timeseries analysis for neuroscience data

=================================================== Nitime: timeseries analysis for neuroscience data ===============================================

NIPY developers 212 Dec 09, 2022
Basic Docker Compose for Machine Learning Purposes

Docker-compose for Machine Learning How to use: cd docker-ml-jupyterlab

Chris Chen 1 Oct 29, 2021
MBTR is a python package for multivariate boosted tree regressors trained in parameter space.

MBTR is a python package for multivariate boosted tree regressors trained in parameter space.

SUPSI-DACD-ISAAC 61 Dec 19, 2022
A collection of interactive machine-learning experiments: 🏋️models training + 🎨models demo

🤖 Interactive Machine Learning experiments: 🏋️models training + 🎨models demo

Oleksii Trekhleb 1.4k Jan 06, 2023
A demo project to elaborate how Machine Learn Models are deployed on production using Flask API

This is a salary prediction website developed with the help of machine learning, this makes prediction of salary on basis of few parameters like interview score, experience test score.

1 Feb 10, 2022
ML-powered Loan-Marketer Customer Filtering Engine

In Loan-Marketing business employees are required to call the user's to buy loans of several fields and in several magnitudes. If employees are calling everybody in the network it is also very length

Sagnik Roy 13 Jul 02, 2022
Python package for causal inference using Bayesian structural time-series models.

Python Causal Impact Causal inference using Bayesian structural time-series models. This package aims at defining a python equivalent of the R CausalI

Thomas Cassou 219 Dec 11, 2022
Required for a machine learning pipeline data preprocessing and variable engineering script needs to be prepared

Feature-Engineering Required for a machine learning pipeline data preprocessing and variable engineering script needs to be prepared. When the dataset

kemalgunay 5 Apr 21, 2022
Tutorial for Decision Threshold In Machine Learning.

Decision-Threshold-ML Tutorial for improve skills: 'Decision Threshold In Machine Learning' (from GeeksforGeeks) by Marcus Mariano For more informatio

0 Jan 20, 2022
Machine Learning Course with Python:

A Machine Learning Course with Python Table of Contents Download Free Deep Learning Resource Guide Slack Group Introduction Motivation Machine Learnin

Instill AI 6.9k Jan 03, 2023
Apache Spark & Python (pySpark) tutorials for Big Data Analysis and Machine Learning as IPython / Jupyter notebooks

Spark Python Notebooks This is a collection of IPython notebook/Jupyter notebooks intended to train the reader on different Apache Spark concepts, fro

Jose A Dianes 1.5k Jan 02, 2023
PyPOTS - A Python Toolbox for Data Mining on Partially-Observed Time Series

A python toolbox/library for data mining on partially-observed time series, supporting tasks of forecasting/imputation/classification/clustering on incomplete multivariate time series with missing va

Wenjie Du 179 Dec 31, 2022